TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 10PM-10:15PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$40

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 10PM-10:15PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 10PM-10:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 10:15 PM EST

predict

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predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 10PM-10:15PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$495
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T02:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T02:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, displaying the implied probability of the outcome occurring. You'll also find a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $40. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential trends. Total volume for this market is $40, indicating overall interest. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are evaluating the prospects of Zhipu AI.

Currently, it’s important to note that this market is driven solely by the collective predictions of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how crowd wisdom differs from expert opinion. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI’s near-term performance, we might see higher probabilities reflected in this market. Conversely, if analysts are skeptical, the odds may be lower. Observing these discrepancies can offer insights into market biases and the potential for profitable trading opportunities.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to Zhipu AI’s performance. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more traders believe the outcome is likely, the price increases, and vice versa. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the probability of the event occurring by the resolution date.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance moves up or down during the specified 10PM-10:15PM ET timeframe on October 28th. The specific details of what constitutes an “up” or “down” movement will be verified against reliable sources following the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed result.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause a reaction. Unexpected news about competitors in the AI space, or broader macroeconomic factors impacting the tech sector, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, shifts in investor sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, could lead to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements.