TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:30 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T02:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T02:15:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individuals, while analyst forecasts are typically based on the opinions of a smaller group of experts. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI, but traders in this market are more bearish, you’ll see a difference in the implied probabilities. It's important to consider both viewpoints when evaluating the potential outcome of this market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down during the specified time window. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price you see represents the market’s consensus view, constantly updated as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s value during the 10:15PM-10:30PM ET window on October 28th. The specific criteria for determining “up” or “down” are defined within the market rules on Predict, and the result will be determined by publicly available data sources at that time.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance, would likely impact trading activity. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or even general economic news, could also influence the price. Unexpected regulatory changes affecting AI companies are another potential catalyst. Finally, significant sentiment shifts on social media or in financial news could also move this market before Oct 29, 2026.