TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
predict

Will ZHIPU/USDT be up or down?

Volume:
$564

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 2:30 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$380
$564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T06:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T06:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, along with a chart of past trades. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $561, and the total volume traded to date is $564. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of the outcome before Oct 27, 2026.

Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports. This market reflects the collective judgment of traders, potentially capturing insights that aren't immediately apparent in conventional analysis. The question is whether the wisdom of the crowd, as expressed through this market, will prove more accurate than individual expert predictions regarding Zhipu AI’s trajectory.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates the market’s aggregate assessment of Zhipu AI’s prospects, and the volume traded shows how much conviction traders have in their positions.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance, as assessed by publicly available data, is considered ‘up’ or ‘down’ based on the market’s framing. The specific criteria for determining ‘up’ or ‘down’ are defined within the market details on Predict, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Broader developments in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to the Chinese technology sector or macroeconomic conditions could also impact the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the evolving landscape surrounding Zhipu AI.