TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
predict

Will ZHIPU/USDT be up or down by October 27?

Volume:
$551

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T05:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T05:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, displaying the implied probability of the outcome occurring. It also provides a price history chart, allowing you to see how the market has fluctuated over time. Additionally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $546, and the total volume traded to date, which is $551. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and activity related to Zhipu AI’s potential performance.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and often aren’t publicly available in a structured format. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering a different perspective than individual analyst reports. If analysts generally believe Zhipu AI will experience significant growth, we might see increased buying pressure and higher probabilities reflected in this market. Conversely, skepticism could lead to lower probabilities.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. Increased demand drives the price up, indicating a higher probability of the event occurring, while increased supply drives the price down. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, providing a real-time estimate of expectations for Zhipu AI.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will reflect whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has moved up or down between 1:30AM and 1:45AM ET on October 27th. The final price will be determined based on publicly available data from financial news sources and official stock exchange records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also cause shifts in the market’s probabilities, as traders adjust their expectations based on the latest information.