TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 11:30 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T03:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T03:15:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds represent the collective wisdom of traders on Predict. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they reflect real-time information and diverse perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies when analysts are overly optimistic or pessimistic. This market allows you to see how the crowd’s assessment compares to expert opinions, providing a unique perspective on the potential for Zhipu AI’s future performance. Examining these differences can be insightful for evaluating the event’s likelihood.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the price of ‘yes’ contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations regarding the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance between 11:15PM and 11:30PM ET on October 27th meets a predetermined standard. This standard will be evaluated based on publicly available data and expert analysis, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Zhipu AI’s technological advancements, funding rounds, or partnerships could impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, announcements from competitors or changes in the broader AI landscape could also influence the market. Unexpected regulatory developments or shifts in investor confidence in the AI sector are additional catalysts to watch. Positive or negative press coverage surrounding Zhipu AI’s capabilities will likely cause price fluctuations in this market as well.