TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T02:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T02:00:00Z
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect real-time expectations more quickly than slower-moving analyst reports. If analysts are generally bullish or bearish on Zhipu AI’s prospects, we might see that reflected in the price movement of this market. Discrepancies between market prices and analyst opinions can present potential opportunities for informed traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s stock price between 10:00 PM and 10:15 PM ET on October 27th. The direction of that change – up or down – will determine the winning outcome of this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 28, 2026. Major news announcements regarding Zhipu AI, such as earnings reports, product launches, or significant partnerships, could all impact trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the AI sector or overall economic conditions could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory changes or competitive pressures could also shift expectations and cause the price of this market to fluctuate. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.