TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T03:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T03:45:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that this market represents the wisdom of the crowd on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how traders’ collective judgment differs from expert opinions. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI’s prospects, you might see higher prices in this market. Conversely, if analysts are skeptical, prices may be lower. It’s a valuable exercise to see where the market diverges from, or aligns with, conventional wisdom regarding the company’s future performance.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of an upward trend. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, constantly updating the market’s assessment of Zhipu AI’s trajectory.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price experiences a net increase or decrease during the specified timeframe of October 26, 11:45 PM - 12:00 AM ET. The final price will be determined by publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the event’s outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, financial performance, or partnerships would be key catalysts. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including competitor activity and regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to the Chinese economy or technology sector could also play a role. Finally, any significant shifts in investor sentiment towards AI companies could drive price movement in this market.