TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$102

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:30 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$8
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T03:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T03:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance between 11:15PM and 11:30PM ET on October 26th. The current volume is $101, and the total volume traded to date is $102. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to see how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and are often qualitative. However, prediction markets like Predict often aggregate a diverse range of opinions and can provide a more accurate probabilistic forecast than a single analyst's prediction. If analysts generally believe Zhipu AI will perform well, we'd expect to see the odds reflect that optimism, and vice versa. Tracking this comparison over time can reveal whether this market is aligned with or diverges from expert opinion.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of Zhipu AI’s performance within the specified timeframe. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different outcomes, based on the aggregated decisions of market participants.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance, as observed during the 11:15PM-11:30PM ET window on October 26th, meets a pre-defined threshold. This threshold is not publicly stated, but the resolution will be determined by objective data and publicly available information. The result will be determined by the platform’s assessment of the event’s outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or technological advancements would likely impact the odds. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly regarding the company’s AI capabilities or competitive positioning, could also shift market sentiment. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding the company’s leadership or financial performance could also be a catalyst.