TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 10:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T02:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T02:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there is limited publicly available data comparing prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI’s short-term performance. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect real-time expectations more quickly than traditional analyst reports. If analysts are broadly optimistic or pessimistic about Zhipu AI, we might expect to see that reflected in the price movement of this market. Discrepancies could indicate areas where the market perceives information differently than the analyst community.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Zhipu AI will perform positively during the specified timeframe, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance, as reported by reliable sources, is considered ‘up’ or ‘down’ during the 10PM-10:15PM ET window on October 26th. The specific criteria for determining ‘up’ or ‘down’ will be based on publicly available data and will be assessed to ensure a fair and objective resolution. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news regarding competitors in the AI space, or broader regulatory changes affecting the AI industry, could also influence trading activity. Positive or negative media coverage, or shifts in overall market sentiment towards AI stocks, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors is key to understanding potential movements.