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408,127

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$30

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET - Predict

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 2:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$12
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T06:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T06:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $30. This allows you to see how much activity there’s been recently and whether sentiment is shifting. The total volume traded in this market is $30, providing a sense of overall interest. This information helps you assess the market’s dynamics and potential opportunities.

Currently, it's important to note that this market is driven entirely by the collective predictions of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts or polls can reveal interesting insights. If the prediction market odds significantly differ from what experts are predicting, it might suggest that traders have access to information or perspectives that aren’t widely reflected in traditional analysis. However, it’s crucial to remember that analyst forecasts and polls represent opinions, while this market represents financial commitments, potentially offering a more accurate signal.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price, the greater the perceived chance of the outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing reflects the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating diverse perspectives into a single, evolving forecast. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the price of Zhipu AI stock has moved up or down between 2:30AM and 2:45AM ET on October 23rd. The final price during that 15-minute window will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new AI models, partnerships, financial performance, or regulatory changes, could impact trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the technology sector, particularly concerning AI companies, could also play a role. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor confidence could also influence trading activity in this market. Positive or negative press coverage could also shift the odds.