TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI price be up or down?

Volume:
$31

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 2:30 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T06:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T06:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance, with the price reflecting the probability of a ‘yes’ outcome. The 24-hour volume, currently at $30, indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently. Total volume for this market is $31, showing overall interest. This information helps you understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and aren’t always publicly available in a standardized format. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can provide a signal that differs from traditional polls or individual expert predictions. If analysts generally believe Zhipu AI will perform well, we might expect to see the ‘yes’ side of this market priced higher, reflecting increased demand from traders who share that belief. It’s a dynamic comparison, constantly shifting with new information.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Zhipu AI will perform positively, the price of the ‘yes’ contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance demonstrates an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe. The exact determination will rely on publicly available data and analysis, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Positive news, such as exceeding user growth expectations or securing significant funding, could drive up the price of the ‘yes’ side. Conversely, negative news, like technical setbacks or increased competition, could push the price down. Broader trends in the AI industry and overall market sentiment could also influence trading activity in this market.