TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down on October 22?

Volume:
$56

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 1:30 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T05:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T05:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $56. This allows you to see how much activity there has been recently and gauge market interest. The total volume traded to date is $56, providing a sense of overall participation in this market.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and aren't always publicly available in a standardized format. However, prediction markets often aggregate a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can be more accurate than individual predictions. If analysts generally believe Zhipu AI will experience significant growth, we might see the 'yes' side of this market gain traction. Conversely, skepticism among analysts could lead to lower prices for that outcome. It’s a useful exercise to compare the direction of this market to general sentiment.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will increase in value. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand; more buyers push the price up, indicating higher confidence, while more sellers drive it down, suggesting greater doubt. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Predict.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s valuation has increased or decreased during the specified timeframe. The exact method for determining this change will be based on publicly available data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Positive news, such as securing a large contract or demonstrating a breakthrough in AI technology, could drive the price higher. Conversely, negative news, like disappointing earnings reports or increased competition, could lower it. Broader trends in the AI industry and overall market sentiment towards tech stocks could also influence trading activity in this market.