TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 12:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T03:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T03:45:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how market-based predictions align with expert opinions. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI’s prospects, we might see higher prices in this market, indicating a greater perceived probability of a positive outcome. Conversely, if analysts express concerns, the price might be lower. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to different conclusions.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will perform well, demand for ‘Yes’ contracts increases, driving up the price. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 22, 11:45 PM - 12:00 AM ET. The determination will rely on publicly available data and assessments of Zhipu AI’s performance during that period, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to review the resolution details on Predict following the event.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected news about competitors in the AI space, shifts in regulatory policies affecting the AI industry, or broader macroeconomic trends could also influence trader sentiment. Positive or negative media coverage, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and even significant social media discussions surrounding Zhipu AI could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.