TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$6

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 9:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T01:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T01:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance between 9:30PM and 9:45PM ET on October 21st. The 24-hour volume currently stands at $6, and the total volume traded to date is $6. This information allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and track changes in expectations leading up to the event.

Currently, it’s important to note that there are no readily available, direct comparisons between prediction market odds and specific analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI’s performance during this short timeframe. However, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If analysts are anticipating a significant announcement or development from Zhipu AI, their expectations may be reflected in the trading activity and resulting price movements within this market. It's a way to gauge 'wisdom of the crowd' versus expert opinion.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down during the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will drive the price up, indicating a higher probability of an upward movement, and vice versa.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price or a similar publicly available indicator moved up or down between 9:30PM and 9:45PM ET on October 21st. The specific indicator used for resolution will be determined by Predict and will be publicly available prior to resolution. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any unexpected news regarding Zhipu AI, such as a major product announcement, a significant partnership, or negative press coverage, could influence trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the AI sector or overall economic news could also play a role. Finally, any regulatory developments impacting Zhipu AI or its competitors could create volatility and shift the odds in this market. Keep an eye on these factors leading up to the event’s conclusion.