TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2AM-2:15AM ET
predict

Will ZHIPU/USDT price be up or down?

Volume:
$35

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2AM-2:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2AM-2:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 2:15 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2AM-2:15AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T06:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T06:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $35, and the total volume traded to date is $35. This allows you to see how interest in this market is evolving and where the majority of predictions are leaning. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and activity.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as comprehensive, publicly available forecasts for Zhipu AI’s future performance are limited. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse opinions and can reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially incorporating information not yet fully captured in traditional analyst reports. If analysts were polled today, their predictions might align with or diverge from the implied probabilities reflected in this market, offering a unique perspective on future expectations.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Zhipu AI will perform positively, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of expectations, driven by supply and demand for contracts.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 21, 2AM-2:15AM ET. The determination will rely on publicly available data and analysis, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the event’s outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the event.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 21, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Unexpected news regarding competitors in the AI space, shifts in regulatory landscapes affecting AI development, or significant breakthroughs in AI technology could also move the market. Broad economic trends or changes in investor sentiment towards the technology sector could also influence trading activity and the perceived likelihood of Zhipu AI’s success.