TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$67

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 2:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T06:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T06:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $67. This data provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding Zhipu AI’s future performance. The total volume traded to date is $67, indicating the level of interest in this event.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide qualitative assessments or long-term projections, this market distills those views into a quantifiable probability. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI, we’d expect to see the ‘yes’ side of this market priced higher. Conversely, if concerns are prevalent, the ‘no’ side would likely be favored. It’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward trend. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the market’s consensus view, and traders can adjust their positions as new information emerges. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated evaluation of the potential outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price shows an upward trend during the specified timeframe of October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET. The determination will rely on publicly available financial data and will be assessed against established market standards. The outcome will be clearly indicated as either ‘yes’ or ‘no’ based on this verified trend.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price movement. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including competitor activity or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news regarding China’s technology policies or economic outlook could also be a catalyst. Positive developments would likely increase the price of the ‘yes’ side, while negative news could favor the ‘no’ side.