TOTAL VOLUME:

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2,984,640,614

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$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$128

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 1:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T05:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T05:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. It also displays a price history chart, showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $127. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and activity. The total volume traded in this market is $128, providing a sense of overall interest. Traders can use this information to inform their own predictions and trading strategies.

Currently, it's difficult to make a direct comparison between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as there isn't a widespread consensus on Zhipu AI’s future performance. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of an upward or downward trend. While analyst opinions can be valuable, this market provides a real-time, quantifiable measure of belief regarding Zhipu AI’s trajectory.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend by October 21st. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people bet on one outcome, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has increased or decreased between the opening price on October 21st, 1:30 AM ET and the closing price on October 21st, 1:45 AM ET. The precise determination will be verified against credible public sources tracking financial markets. The market will then settle based on this verified change in stock price.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 21, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also contribute to price fluctuations. Any news that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s growth potential could drive significant movement in this market.