TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$100

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 11:00 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T02:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T02:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market—currently $99. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities. The dashboard also displays the total volume for the entire market lifecycle, which is $100.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as opinions on Zhipu AI’s future performance vary widely. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can provide a forward-looking assessment that differs from traditional analyst reports. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI, we might expect to see increasing confidence reflected in the odds offered here. Conversely, negative sentiment from analysts could lead to lower probabilities assigned to a positive outcome for this market.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which in turn influences the market price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds reflect the most up-to-date expectations regarding Zhipu AI’s trajectory.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has increased or decreased during the specified timeframe of October 21, 10:45PM-11PM ET. The final price will be verified against credible public sources to determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 22, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the Chinese economy or technology sector could also move the market, as Zhipu AI is based in China. Any significant news coverage or analyst reports could also shift the odds in this market.