TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$25

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 4:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$200
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T07:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T07:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, providing a sense of market sentiment regarding whether Zhipu AI’s value will increase or decrease. You’ll also find a price history chart to visualize how the probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $25. This volume indicates how much activity is happening in this market. The total volume traded to date is $25, offering a view of overall interest in this prediction.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets or ratings based on fundamental analysis, this market reflects real-money predictions about Zhipu AI’s future performance. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates factors not yet fully considered by analysts, or vice versa. It's a different way to gauge expectations, with traders directly putting capital behind their beliefs about the company's trajectory.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about Zhipu AI’s future value. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of the outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments, leading to dynamic price changes. The current price effectively represents the aggregated forecast of all participants in this market, offering a forward-looking view of Zhipu AI’s potential.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has increased or decreased during the specified timeframe. The final price will reflect the collective prediction of traders on Predict regarding the direction of Zhipu AI’s value. The outcome will be determined by comparing the stock price at the beginning and end of the period.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic trends, particularly those affecting the technology sector or the Chinese stock market, could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory changes or competitive pressures within the AI industry are additional catalysts. Positive or negative news coverage, and shifts in overall investor sentiment towards AI companies, could also move this market considerably before Oct 20, 2026.