TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$156

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 3:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$200
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T07:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T07:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance, as well as a record of past price fluctuations. The 24-hour volume, currently at $158, indicates the amount of trading activity in the last day. Overall volume for this market is $156, offering insight into the total interest. This information allows you to monitor market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations.

Currently, it’s important to note that this market exists on a single platform, Predict. Therefore, we are comparing the market’s implied probabilities to external analyst forecasts and polling data regarding Zhipu AI’s future performance. If analyst expectations align with the market’s pricing, we’d expect a similar outlook. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, information access, or the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect observed in prediction markets. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential opportunities.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market price. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding Zhipu AI, distinct from static analyst reports or polls.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will reflect whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and assessments of Zhipu AI’s performance during that period, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 20, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected regulatory changes affecting the AI industry could also shift expectations. Furthermore, broader market sentiment towards AI companies, or news concerning competitors, could influence trading activity. Any significant developments impacting Zhipu AI’s perceived prospects could lead to price fluctuations in this market.