TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 2AM-2:15AM ET
predict

Will ZHIPU/USDT price be up or down?

Volume:
$72

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 2AM-2:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 2AM-2:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 2:15 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 2AM-2:15AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T06:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T06:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance, alongside historical data showing how those probabilities have shifted over time. The current 24-hour volume is $72, and the total volume traded to date is $72. This information provides a snapshot of market sentiment and activity surrounding this specific event.

Currently, it is difficult to compare the odds in this market directly to traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer opinions on Zhipu AI’s future performance, prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of perspectives and real-time adjustments based on new information. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often point estimates, while this market provides a probabilistic view of potential outcomes. Discrepancies may arise due to differing methodologies and information access.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of market sentiment. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and their collective actions determine the market’s price.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified time window, as determined by publicly available data. The specific details of the outcome will be assessed against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 20, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Additionally, broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or advancements from competitors, could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding the Chinese tech sector or macroeconomic conditions could also play a role in shifting the odds within this market. Any information perceived as positive or negative for Zhipu AI’s prospects could drive trading activity.