TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

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$244,077,041

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,901,278,909

407,043

Markets across

39,548

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,422

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

VS.

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63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$20

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 1:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T05:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T05:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $20. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely outcome. The current volume for this market is $20, reflecting overall interest in this event.

Currently, it’s important to note that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how market-based predictions differ from those made by experts. Often, prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate assessments. It's valuable to consider both sources when evaluating the potential trajectory of Zhipu AI.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend in its valuation and public perception during the specified timeframe. This is determined by assessing publicly available information and data points relevant to the company's performance and market standing. The final outcome will reflect the prevailing sentiment at the time of resolution.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 20, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the artificial intelligence industry, including regulatory changes or competitor actions, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the Chinese tech sector or macroeconomic conditions could also play a role in shifting the odds within this market.