TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 11PM-11:15PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 11PM-11:15PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 11PM-11:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:15 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 20, 11PM-11:15PM ET

View
N/A
N/A
—
$5
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Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T03:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T03:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the outcome, as well as a record of past price fluctuations. The current 24-hour volume is $0, and the total volume traded to date is $0. This information helps you understand market sentiment and track how opinions are evolving as new information becomes available. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of this market’s activity.

Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as there is limited publicly available consensus on Zhipu AI’s near-term prospects. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports, potentially leading to different assessments of probability. If analyst forecasts become available, comparing them to the implied probabilities within this market could reveal interesting insights into the collective wisdom of traders versus expert opinion on Zhipu AI.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to new information and express their views, creating a real-time assessment of expectations. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd participating in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price moves up or down during the specified 11PM-11:15PM ET window on October 20th. The final price movement during that timeframe will be the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor relevant news sources and financial data leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential catalysts.

Several signals or events could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the AI sector, particularly news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also impact sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor confidence could indirectly influence trading activity in this market. Any significant news related to Zhipu AI’s technology or its position within the industry could move the odds.