TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:45 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T03:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T03:30:00Z
Currently, it’s difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as there is limited public consensus on Zhipu AI’s trajectory. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports. This can lead to differences in perceived probabilities, especially when dealing with rapidly evolving fields like artificial intelligence. The market’s collective wisdom may offer a distinct signal compared to individual expert opinions.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend by the resolution date. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectation of market participants. Higher demand for 'Up' contracts, for example, will drive up the price, indicating a greater perceived probability of positive movement for Zhipu AI.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s publicly available valuation or a significant company announcement during the specified timeframe of October 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET. The exact determination will be based on publicly available data that confirms whether the company experienced an upward or downward trend during that period.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Broader news related to the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or shifts in investor sentiment towards tech stocks generally could also move the market. Any substantial news coverage impacting the perception of Zhipu AI’s future prospects will likely be reflected in the price.