TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T02:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T02:00:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts directly comparable to the specific timeframe and outcome being assessed in this market. However, comparing the implied probabilities from this market to broader sentiment regarding Zhipu AI’s recent advancements and competitive positioning can provide valuable context. If analysts generally express a bullish or bearish outlook on the company, you can consider how this aligns with the collective wisdom reflected in the current odds offered by traders on Predict.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. Higher demand for contracts indicating an upward trend will drive up their price, and vice versa, reflecting the collective prediction of participants in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price or a similar, publicly available indicator demonstrates a clear upward or downward trend during the 15-minute window from 10PM to 10:15PM ET on October 20th. The specifics of what constitutes an “upward” or “downward” trend are determined by the platform’s guidelines and are designed to provide a clear and objective determination.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any major news releases concerning Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance, would likely cause price movement. Broader market trends in the AI sector or overall economic conditions could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory changes affecting AI companies or negative press regarding Zhipu AI’s technology or business practices could also shift the odds. Keep an eye on these factors leading up to the resolution time.