TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 11:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T02:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-21T02:45:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts directly comparable to this market. However, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially incorporating information and insights not captured in traditional analyst reports. If analyst opinions become available regarding Zhipu AI’s future performance, comparing them to the probabilities reflected in this market will be insightful. Discrepancies could highlight areas where the market anticipates different outcomes or assigns different levels of confidence than professional analysts.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about Zhipu AI’s future performance. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectations of market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn’t determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of numerous traders. The current price represents the probability of a specific outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price has moved up or down during the specified timeframe of October 20, 10:45PM-11PM ET. The final price movement will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual performance of Zhipu AI during the defined period.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new products, partnerships, or financial results would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the AI sector, particularly news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could indirectly impact the market. Any significant news coverage or social media attention surrounding Zhipu AI’s performance or prospects could also drive changes in the odds.