TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 9:45 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T01:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T01:30:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically addressing the short-term performance of Zhipu AI. Therefore, a direct comparison isn’t possible at this time. However, this market provides a unique perspective, aggregating the collective wisdom of traders on Predict. It’s a real-time assessment of potential movement, distinct from traditional expert opinions, offering a different signal for those following the company’s trajectory. Observing how this market evolves can be insightful, even without a direct comparison point.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward movement. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation, and changes in volume and price can signal shifts in sentiment. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and responsive price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price moves up or down between 9:30PM and 9:45PM ET on October 19th. The specific direction of the price change will determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes and the outcome is verified.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any major news announcements regarding Zhipu AI, such as new product releases, significant partnerships, or financial earnings reports, would likely cause a reaction. Broader market trends in the AI sector or overall economic news could also influence trading activity. Unexpected regulatory changes impacting AI companies in China, or even competitor announcements, could shift sentiment. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.