TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 19, 10PM-10:15PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI price be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 19, 10PM-10:15PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 19, 10PM-10:15PM ET - Predict

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·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 10:15 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 19, 10PM-10:15PM ET

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Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T02:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-20T02:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance between 10PM and 10:15PM ET on October 19th. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $0, indicating the level of recent trading activity. Total volume for this market is $0, showing the overall interest from users on Predict.

Currently, it’s important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically targeting the short-term performance of Zhipu AI within the precise 15-minute window this market covers. Therefore, a direct comparison is difficult. However, this market provides a unique, real-time assessment of collective belief, reflecting what traders are willing to wager on the outcome. This differs from traditional polls or analyst reports, which may rely on different methodologies and time horizons.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Higher demand for 'Up' contracts, for example, will drive up their price, indicating a stronger belief in positive movement for Zhipu AI.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in a publicly available metric representing Zhipu AI’s performance during the 10PM-10:15PM ET window on October 19th. The exact metric will be determined by Predict and publicly available prior to the resolution date, ensuring transparency and fairness in determining the outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any major news announcements related to Zhipu AI, such as product launches, partnerships, or regulatory updates, would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected developments in the broader AI landscape, particularly concerning competing companies or technological breakthroughs, could also influence trading activity. Finally, general market sentiment towards technology stocks and AI specifically could play a role in shaping the odds within this market until it resolves.