TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$112

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 9:00 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-9PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T01:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-11-02T01:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, as reflected in the prices set by traders. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $112, and the total volume traded to date is $112. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding the future direction of this rapidly developing AI company. The dashboard is updated continuously to reflect the latest trading activity.

Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as comprehensive, publicly available forecasts specifically targeting Zhipu AI’s near-term performance are limited. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports, potentially leading to different assessments of probability. If analyst expectations lean bullish or bearish, we might see corresponding shifts in trading activity within this market, though these are not necessarily correlated. The market reflects the collective judgment of participants.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about Zhipu AI’s future performance. The price of a contract reflects the probability of a positive outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market price. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations, driven by the wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price increases or decreases during the specified timeframe of November 1, 8:45 PM to 9:00 PM ET. The final price movement will be verified against credible public sources to determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolution.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial results would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also play a role. Any news that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s growth prospects is likely to be reflected in the price of this market.