TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:04 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 29, 12:00 PM ET and October 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between September 29, 12:00 PM ET and October 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to polling averages provides insight into collective wisdom versus public opinion. Currently, this market reflects a different perspective than traditional polls on the likely number of social media posts by President Zelenskyy during the specified timeframe. While polls capture a snapshot of stated preferences, this market aggregates real-money wagers, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies may arise from factors like information asymmetry, strategic incentives, or differing interpretations of the question regarding the frequency of posts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the information available. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of how many posts President Zelenskyy will make between September 29th and October 6th, 2026, based on the aggregated bets of market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of posts made by President Zelenskyy on his official social media accounts (X, Facebook, Instagram, Telegram) between September 29th and October 6th, 2026, will be tallied. The resolution will be based on a publicly available record of these posts, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the final result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 6, 2026. Major geopolitical developments involving Ukraine, shifts in the intensity of the conflict, or changes in President Zelenskyy’s communication strategy could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements regarding international negotiations, significant military actions, or even changes in his social media team could also cause the market to reprice. Additionally, any public statements made by President Zelenskyy regarding his social media usage could influence trader sentiment and drive price fluctuations.
