TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:19h:20m
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
$
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between October 30, 12:00 PM ET and November 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between October 30, 12:00 PM ET and November 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare this market to polling averages as the event is in the future. However, prediction markets often reflect a different kind of information than polls. Polls capture stated preferences, while this market incentivizes participants to reveal their *actual* beliefs about the likely outcome, making it a potentially more accurate signal. As the event draws closer, it will be valuable to see how this market's predictions align with, or diverge from, traditional polling data regarding President Zelenskyy’s communication strategy.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the number of posts President Zelenskyy will make. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, so increased buying pressure on a particular outcome will raise its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by President Zelenskyy on his official social media accounts between October 30 and November 6, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a count of all posts across his verified channels, and the market will settle to 100% for the outcome that accurately reflects the actual number of posts made during that period. The specific definition of a 'post' is determined by the platform's rules.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major geopolitical events involving Ukraine, shifts in the war's trajectory, or significant changes in President Zelenskyy’s communication strategy could all cause the market to move. Unexpected announcements regarding international negotiations, domestic policy changes, or even a change in his social media team could also impact trading activity. Any news that alters perceptions of President Zelenskyy’s priorities or availability will likely be reflected in the price of this market.
