TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Xiaomi market share this week
kalshi

Xiaomi market share this week

Volume:
$74,544

Above 2.0%

 - Kalshi

Above 2.0% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.0%

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,779
N/A
N/A
$16,598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,063
N/A
N/A
$8,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 2.5%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,974
N/A
N/A
$4,290
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,395
N/A
N/A
$6,585
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.0%

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,223
N/A
N/A
$6,223
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.5%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,110
N/A
N/A
$3,510
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks Xiaomi's performance in the artificial intelligence modeling community during a specific week. It measures how much influence or contribution Xiaomi has relative to all other model authors during that period. The outcome depends on whether Xiaomi's share exceeds various threshold percentages.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Xiaomi's market share percentage as reported by OpenRouter for the week of August 24, 2026, measured at 10:00 AM ET on the following Monday. Each market has a different threshold: 2.0%, 2.5%, 3.0%, 3.5%, 4.0%, or 4.5%. If Xiaomi's share exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with OpenRouter, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions that set the probability of each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the collective belief of participants about Xiaomi’s market share performance for the week. Trading volume of $74,544 helps determine how liquid and responsive the pricing is to new information.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on widely accepted data sources tracking Xiaomi’s market share for the specified week, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 31, 2026. Key events include major product launches by Xiaomi or competitors, significant changes in consumer demand, supply chain updates, and financial performance reports. Any news affecting Xiaomi’s sales or market position — whether positive or negative — may cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment and market odds on Kalshi.