TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$99,401,033

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

Markets across

33,267

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
predict
polymarket

Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?

Total volume:
$442,093
Volume 24h:
$726
225%
Liquidity:
$120,900
0.21%
Open interest:
$4,151N/A

December 31, 2027

 - Polymarket

December 31, 2027 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?

55%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 55¢ buys you 182 shares | Odds: 55% Total Payout: $182 | Net Profit: $82 Multiplier: 1.82x | ROI: 82% | APY: 56% Low liquidity 492 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2027

Trade
55%
Yes 55¢No 68¢
23¢
$499
$18,066
0%
5%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 5.9¢No 97.2¢
3.1¢
$6,645
$16,009
5%
5%
N/A
N/A
active
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 3.5¢No 99.6¢
3.1¢
$113,756
$356,582
0%
0.51%
N/A
4mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 4.7¢No 98.4¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 3.1¢
polymarket

December 31, 2025

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks whether Unit will officially launch a token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable by December 31, 2025. The aggregated consensus probability across Predict and Polymarket shows a leading outcome of 58.0%, with a secondary outcome at 3.6%. Resolution will be determined by official Unit communications and announcements from https://hyperunit.xyz/, supplemented by consensus of credible reporting sources. Watch for any official token launch announcements before the December 31, 2025 deadline to see how this market resolves.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict apply identical resolution criteria across all three deadline variants (2025, 2026, 2027), with consistent emphasis on active public transferability and tradeability as the binding requirement.Primary resolution logic: Official Unit communications and announcements from https://hyperunit.xyz/, supplemented by consensus of credible reporting sources

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by Unit
  • Token must be actively and publicly transferable
  • Token must be actively and publicly tradable
  • Announcements alone do not qualify for Yes resolution
  • Resolution occurs by 11:59 PM ET on the specified deadline date

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Announcement vs. Launch: A public announcement of a token launch does not satisfy resolution. The token must be actively transferable and tradable on the market, not merely announced.
  • Governance Token Designation: Markets reference governance tokens specifically in some descriptions, but the core requirement is transferability and tradeability regardless of token type or governance function.
  • Deadline Timing: All deadlines are set at 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Token must be actively trading before this exact moment for Yes resolution.
  • Multi-Date Markets: If token launches before December 31, 2025, all three markets (2025, 2026, 2027) resolve Yes. Earlier launch satisfies all later deadlines.
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each market's specified deadline date (December 31, 2025 for the 2025 market, December 31, 2026 for the 2026 market, and December 31, 2027 for the 2027 market). If token launches before deadline, markets resolve Yes immediately upon launch confirmation.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Unit, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading volume for Unit's token launch across Polymarket and Predict. It displays the consensus probability that Unit will launch a token by the specified deadline, along with total group volume of $440,143 across all linked markets. You can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges, compare outcomes across platforms, and track 24-hour activity to gauge market momentum and trader conviction on this crypto development event.

Prediction market odds reflect traders' probabilistic views on Unit's token launch timeline, independent of Unit's current spot price or market cap. While spot price may react to product announcements or funding news, prediction markets isolate the specific binary outcome: will a token launch occur by the deadline? This separation allows you to assess launch probability without conflating it with broader token valuation, providing a clearer signal of community expectations around the timing and likelihood of this corporate event.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites. Polymarket shows 55.0% while Predict reflects 2.0%, a spread of 53.0 percentage points. Differences arise from varying market depths, fee structures, user bases, and how each interprets the launch deadline. Lower liquidity on one platform may also amplify price sensitivity to large trades, while regulatory or technical differences can shift perceived probabilities between venues.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2028. Resolution hinges on whether Unit has officially launched a token by that date. Traders should monitor Unit's announcements, regulatory filings, and official communications for confirmation of a token launch event. The outcome is binary: either Unit launches a token before the deadline and the affirmative resolves, or it does not and the negative resolves. Check each platform's specific resolution criteria for any nuances in how launch is defined.

Key catalysts include Unit's official announcements regarding tokenomics or launch timing, regulatory approvals or guidance affecting token issuance, funding rounds or partnerships that accelerate development, competitor token launches that shift market sentiment, and macroeconomic shifts in crypto adoption. Management commentary during earnings calls or investor updates can also move odds. Watch for technical milestones, governance changes, or strategic pivots that hint at token plans. Proximity to the deadline will amplify price sensitivity as resolution approaches.