TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.8b

24H VOL:

$119,205,487

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,317,581,230

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,172,792,273

330,375

Markets across

32,561

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,019

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What price will Ethereum hit in August?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Ethereum hit in August?

Total volume:
$5,336,871
Volume 24h:
$1,617,998
101%
Liquidity:
$651,939
26%
Open interest:
$254,948
36%

↑ 2,600

 - Polymarket

↑ 2,600 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 09d:22h:38m

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?

56%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 59.2¢ buys you 169 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $169 | Net Profit: $69 Multiplier: 1.69x | ROI: 69% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ 2,600

Trade
56%
45%
Yes 59.2¢No 46.3¢
5.5¢
$35,658
$215,920
61%
395%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 2,300

Trade
52%
65%
Yes 55¢No 51¢
6¢
$24,201
$2,844
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↑ 2,700

Trade
34%
32%
Yes 34.9¢No 67.4¢
2.3¢
$36,073
$259,181
44%
656%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 2,200

Trade
27%
28%
Yes 29¢No 75¢
4¢
$21,966
$4,048
131%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
kalshi

Above $2,750.00

Trade
24%
9%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$79,332
97%
1,918%
$32,477
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↑ 2,800

Trade
18%
21%
Yes 18.8¢No 82.6¢
1.4¢
$26,872
$48,440
623%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
21%
Yes 22.9¢No 78.3¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 1.4¢
polymarket

↓ 2,100

Trade
14%
11%
Yes 17¢No 89¢
6¢
$21,393
$1,325
258%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↑ 2,900

Trade
12%
15%
Yes 15¢No 90.9¢
5.9¢
$23,746
$58,230
838%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
kalshi

Above $3,000.00

Trade
10%
7%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$125,794
186%
20,210%
$57,130
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↑ 3,000

Trade
8%
9%
Yes 9.1¢No 93.9¢
3¢
$38,327
$725,569
31%
225%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
9%
Yes 9¢No 93¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

↓ 2,000

Trade
9%
6%
Yes 9.8¢No 92.3¢
2.1¢
$22,874
$100,826
52%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
kalshi

Above $3,250.00

Trade
8%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
N/A
$34,357
60%
1,613%
$31,287
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,900

Trade
4%
2%
Yes 5.3¢No 97¢
2.3¢
$23,462
$84,995
65%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
kalshi

Above $3,500.00

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$25,420
74%
956%
$19,917
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,800

Trade
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 98¢
0.1¢
$30,630
$282,291
48%
548%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
kalshi

Above $3,750.00

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$11,589
393%
730%
$9,494
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,700

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 98.1¢
0.1¢
$33,091
$333,636
16%
439%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,600

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.1¢
0.1¢
$25,990
$250,922
26%
259%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,500

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.4¢
$27,720
$114,553
2%
67%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,400

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
0.2¢
$35,811
$104,861
3%
72%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,200

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$66,657
$105,516
2%
38%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,100

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$36,063
$55,139
33%
132%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,000

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.9¢
0.2¢
$42,724
$12,663
41%
68%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 1,300

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$31,779
$125,683
0.44%
72%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
polymarket

↓ 900

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$46,901
$109,588
0.96%
87%
N/A
1w 2d 22h
active
Total markets: 25 of 43

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum will reach a price of $2,600 at any point in August, using real-time price data from Binance. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi currently stands at 56.5% for the 'Yes' outcome. Resolution will be determined by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data. Watch for price movements around the end of the betting period on September 1, 2026, which will confirm whether the threshold was met during August.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Binance 1-minute candle data for August to determine if specified price thresholds are met.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if any Binance 1-minute candle during August has a high price >= specified upward threshold
  • Markets resolve to 'Yes' if any Binance 1-minute candle during August has a low price <= specified downward threshold
  • All markets consider only the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance; other exchanges or pairs are irrelevant
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately when the threshold is met during August; otherwise, resolves at market close on August 31stOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit in August?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for Ethereum over the entire month of August 2026, resolving each market to 'Yes' if the price exceeds its specific threshold at any point during the period. For all markets, the settlement mechanism analyzes minute-by-minute price data from the time of issuance through August 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. To ensure stability and reduce susceptibility to transient spikes or drops, each minute's price calculation employs a trimmed mean methodology: the top 20% and bottom 20% of all collected minute-by-minute prices are excluded before averaging the remaining data. If this trimmed mean for any single minute exceeds the market's designated threshold—ranging from $2,000 to $3,750—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should CF Benchmarks fail to provide complete or accurate data by the expiration time, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The Exchange explicitly defines which Ethereum version or ticker is tracked, ensuring clarity in measurement.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum price market dashboard aggregates data from multiple venues, giving you a real-time view of how traders across platforms price the Ethereum price market. It shows combined volume of $5,336,871 and 24-hour volume of $1,028,747, alongside the consensus view shaped by the top outcomes from each exchange. This snapshot helps you gauge market sentiment and spot trends as the event unfolds.

On Polymarket, odds reflect a probability-weighted outlook that often diverges from short-term spot price momentum. Traders here balance near-term volatility against longer-term bull or bear signals. Meanwhile, Kalshi may price in different risk factors or liquidity conditions, leading to varied implied probabilities. Together, these odds offer a layered perspective on where the market thinks Ethereum could trade by the end of August.

User bases, trading volumes, and risk appetites differ between Polymarket and Kalshi, creating natural price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might attract more retail speculators responsive to recent news, while the other could reflect institutional positioning. These dynamics often produce a spread of 32.5 between the two platforms, especially as new information emerges in the weeks leading up to August.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price used for settlement will reflect a widely accepted, time-stamped data point — ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants across participating venues.

Macroeconomic announcements, major exchange upgrades, regulatory headlines, or unexpected market shocks can all shift this market. Ethereum-specific developments — such as protocol upgrades, large institutional inflows, or security breaches — are also key catalysts. Traders will watch these signals closely, as each has the potential to dramatically alter the probability curve in the coming weeks.