TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.5b

24H VOL:

$103,538,750

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,181,296,015

310,262

Markets across

30,298

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,048

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Ethereum price on August 23?
Crypto
polymarket
kalshi

Ethereum price on August 23?

Total volume:
$748,995
Volume 24h:
$399,465
1,820%
Liquidity:
$666,645
340%
Open interest:
$305,494
118%

>2,300

all

2 markets

Polymarket

100%

Kalshi

100%

consensus

100%

+36.3%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 16

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Vol.

$35.4k

·

Resolves Aug 23, 2026

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum's price will exceed $2,300 on August 23, with aggregated data from Polymarket and Kalshi, resolving against Binance price data. The consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 96.7%, with a secondary outcome probability of 3.3%. The final resolution will depend on the Binance ETH/USDT price at noon ET on August 23, 2026, marking the end of the betting period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Value Mismatch / Timing MismatchHero tip: Traders should be aware that these markets will resolve to different values unless Ethereum's price on August 23 exactly matches one of Kalshi's August 21 thresholds. Consider hedging positions if you expect price movement between the two dates.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026, if it is above one of 50 threshold values (e.g., above $849.99, $889.99, etc.).
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on August 23, 2026, with 12 bracket questions (e.g., less than $1,400, between $1,400 and $1,500, etc.).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026. For each market, if this average exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., $850, $890, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is determined exclusively by CF Benchmarks' ERTI, with the final value being the average of 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. External sources like Google or Coinbase are not authoritative for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

The Ethereum August price market dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues, giving you a real-time view of how traders across platforms see the short_topic. It shows combined volume of $736,604 and recent 24-hour volume of $386,650, along with the consensus outlook drawn from the top outcomes on each platform. This cross-platform snapshot helps you gauge market sentiment and spot trends as we approach the August decision date.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch exchange closing prices and on-chain data at the exact timestamp, with any official announcements or significant market moves serving as secondary checks. The process ensures a clear, objective result once the date passes.

Key signals include major Ethereum ETF flow announcements, U.S. or global macro policy shifts, network upgrades, and high-impact geopolitical events that affect risk appetite. Technical breaks above or below $2,300 could also trigger rapid repricing, while unexpected exchange outages or large whale transfers might create short-term volatility. Keep an eye on volume spikes and order-book depth as we near Aug 23, 2026.