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What price will Solana hit in August?
Crypto
polymarket
kalshi

What price will Solana hit in August?

Total volume:
$963,945
Volume 24h:
$295,473
53%
Liquidity:
$488,016
2%
Open interest:
$75,811
38%

↓ 90

 - Polymarket

↓ 90 - Polymarket

100%

+0.5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

97%98%99%

No volume data

Aug 21

Aug 21

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 09d:22h:38m

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Solana (SOL) will dip to $90 in August, using Binance 1-minute candle data for settlement. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a 100.0% probability of this outcome. The final resolution will be determined by Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data. Watch for price action during the August trading period, as any low price meeting or falling below the $90 threshold will resolve this market by September 1, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Binance 1-minute candle data for August, with upward thresholds checking highs and downward thresholds checking lowsPrimary resolution logic: Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Upward threshold markets resolve Yes if any Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle high >= target price during August
  • Downward threshold markets resolve Yes if any Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle low <= target price during August
  • All markets resolve No if their respective condition is never met during August

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact match timing: Resolution depends on price action between 00:00 AM ET August 1 and 11:59 PM ET August 31 inclusive
  • Candle boundary: Only final high/low of each 1-minute candle matters - intra-candle spikes don't count
Timing: Markets resolve immediately when any qualifying candle occurs during August, or finally at market close on August 31 if no qualifying candle appearedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

What price will Solana hit in August?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the price of SOL throughout the month of August 2026, with each threshold representing a distinct market outcome (Yes/No). For each threshold, the market resolves to Yes if SOL's price at any minute during the period exceeds that threshold. Settlement uses a minute-by-minute price feed (CF SOLUSD_RTI), applying a trimmed mean methodology where the top and bottom 20% of price data points are excluded before calculating the average for each minute. This approach reduces the impact of transient spikes or drops. If the trimmed mean for any single minute exceeds the relevant threshold, the associated market resolves to Yes. The measurement period begins at issuance and ends at 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to No. The Exchange specifies which version or ticker of SOL is being tracked when multiple versions exist.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Solana price market aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders on Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays current odds, trading volume of $963,945, and 24-hour volume of $268,938, giving you a live snapshot of consensus and divergence in this market.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices. In this market, traders are pricing in anticipated moves and volatility over the coming months. The odds reflect expectations beyond today’s trading, incorporating macro trends, tokenomics updates, and market sentiment that could push price action in either direction.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue may attract more retail traders reacting quickly to news, while the other could see slower, institutional-style trading. This can create a spread of 1.0 between the two platforms, especially as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on widely accepted data sources tracking price action over the specified period, ensuring a clear and transparent close.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major announcements — such as protocol upgrades, regulatory clarity, or significant exchange listings — often drive rapid changes in trader sentiment. Broader crypto market trends, macroeconomic data, and even geopolitical events that impact risk appetite can also cause sharp swings in odds and volume as the Sep 1, 2026 deadline approaches.