TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.8b

24H VOL:

$119,205,487

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,317,581,230

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,172,792,273

330,375

Markets across

32,561

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,019

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Science and Technology
Entertainment
What price will XRP hit in August?
Crypto
polymarket
kalshi

What price will XRP hit in August?

Total volume:
$1,767,938
Volume 24h:
$997,417
693%
Liquidity:
$278,774
22%
Open interest:
$128,888
56%

Above $1.60

all

2 markets

Kalshi

100%

Polymarket

100%

consensus

100%

+97.8%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 15

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 21

Aug 22

Vol.

$78.3k

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 09d:22h:38m

kalshi

Kalshi

Trade
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether the trimmed mean price of XRP will exceed $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, based on aggregated data from Polymarket and Kalshi. The current consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 99.0%, with Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data serving as the definitive resolution source. The outcome will be determined using unified criteria across both platforms, focusing on the high price during the specified period. Keep an eye on price movements throughout August as the event window progresses toward its resolution on September 1, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data for August with consistent high/low trigger logicPrimary resolution logic: Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data

Core resolution logic:

  • Upward threshold markets resolve Yes if any candle's High >= specified price
  • Downward threshold markets resolve Yes if any candle's Low <= specified price
  • All markets cover the full calendar month of August (00:00 AM ET start, 11:59 PM ET end)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Market Closure: If Binance is unavailable during August, last valid candle before closure determines resolution
  • Exact Threshold: Markets with ".00" thresholds (e.g., $3.00) resolve Yes on exact price matches
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately when any qualifying candle occurs during AugustOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

What price will XRP hit in August?

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for XRP's price performance over a defined period, from market issuance through August 31, 2026, ending at 11:59 PM ET. For each threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes' if XRP's price exceeds the specified level at any moment during this timeframe. Settlement employs a minute-by-minute price sampling methodology using CF XRPUSD_RTI data. To mitigate volatility from extreme spikes or drops, the top and bottom 20% of all sampled minute-by-minute prices are excluded before calculating a trimmed mean for each minute. If this trimmed mean surpasses the threshold for any single minute, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should CF Benchmarks data be unavailable or incomplete at expiration, all affected markets resolve to 'No.' The exchange specifies the exact XRP version or ticker tracked, ensuring clarity in measurement.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the XRP August price market aggregates data from multiple venues, giving you a live view of how traders across platforms price the chances of different outcomes. It shows combined volume of $1,767,938 and recent 24-hour volume of $870,298, letting you see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts over time. This centralized snapshot makes it easy to monitor the short_topic alongside platform-specific odds and trends.

Prediction market odds often reflect expectations that go beyond the current spot price by incorporating anticipated volatility, news cycles, and macro trends. While the spot price shows where XRP trades right now, this market’s odds embed probabilities for future movements, frequently pricing in bull or bear scenarios that haven’t yet materialized in actual trading. Traders watch both to spot mispricings or emerging consensus shifts.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary because each venue has its own user base, liquidity conditions, and fee structure, all of which influence how traders place bets. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, differing volumes or regional participation patterns may cause one platform to lean more aggressively toward a particular outcome. Right now, Polymarket currently favors Will XRP dip to $1.20 in August? at 25.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will XRP trimmed mean be above $1.60 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026? at 99.0%.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will reflect whether the price conditions defined in the market are met, based on widely accepted data points that leave no ambiguity for participants.

Key signals that could shift this market include major XRP protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements from global financial authorities, high-profile institutional trades, or broader crypto market swings driven by macroeconomic data. Any development that changes the perceived trajectory of XRP’s value has the potential to adjust odds quickly, so traders keep close watch on both project-specific news and market-wide sentiment.