TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event centers on whether a specific political figure will enact a significant tariff on imported generic pharmaceutical products through executive action. This would involve establishing a high levy aimed at protecting domestic drug manufacturing. The outcome hinges on such action being taken before a set date in late 2026.
Kalshi
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. A formal executive action or official announcement by Trump before the midterms will settle the market; absence of such action by the deadline leads to the opposite result.
Several signals could shift this market before Nov 3, 2026. Key catalysts include official policy statements from the administration, legislative proposals related to pharmaceutical imports, economic reports affecting trade priorities, and major political developments ahead of the midterms. Media coverage and expert commentary may also influence trader sentiment and drive volume changes as the resolution date nears.
