TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?
polymarket

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?

Volume:
$417

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?

 - Polymarket

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 1:01 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 24?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Polymarket

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market participants are significantly more confident in a White House lid call than recent polling averages suggest. While polls show a degree of uncertainty regarding the President’s schedule for October 24, this market indicates a strong expectation that a lid will be called before 6:30 PM. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect not just *what* people think, but *how confident* they are in their beliefs, and allow for continuous updating of expectations as new information emerges. This difference highlights how this market aggregates information differently than traditional polls.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether the White House Press Office officially announces a 'full lid' before 6:30 PM on October 24. The announcement must be publicly available and clearly indicate that no further events are scheduled for the day. The market will then settle based on whether this condition was met, reflecting the collective prediction of traders.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any official statements from the White House regarding the President’s schedule for October 24 would be a key driver. Unexpected events, such as a sudden change in travel plans or a major policy announcement, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, news reports about the President’s health or security concerns could impact the likelihood of a lid call. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 25, 2026 resolution.