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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?
- Polymarket
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11? - Polymarket
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Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Closed: Oct 13, 6:07 PM EST
Polymarket
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?
Description
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Polymarket
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of the White House calling a full lid by the specified time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing circumstances.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether the White House officially announces a 'full lid' before 6:30 PM on October 11. The announcement must be publicly available and verifiable to determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on official White House communications and will not rely on interpretations or speculation.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any unexpected changes to the President’s schedule, such as a sudden announcement of an additional event, would likely decrease the probability of a lid call. Conversely, if the President’s day is already fully booked, or if there are unforeseen circumstances that limit public appearances, the odds could increase. News regarding potential crises or important policy announcements could also influence the market, as the White House might adjust its schedule in response. Monitoring White House briefings and official statements will be key.
