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413,109

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Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Tesla finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$7,239

$365

 - Polymarket

$365 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:34 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$365

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$370

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$360

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$375

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$380

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$340

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$350

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$355

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$345

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$385

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$390

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$395

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$400

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tesla stock price market displays the current implied probability of Tesla (TSLA) finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price point. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $7,239. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour volume, which is $1,128, providing insight into recent trading activity. This allows you to monitor how confidence in different outcomes is evolving over time.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability that Tesla’s stock will finish the week of October 5 above a certain level. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a wider range of potential outcomes. While traditional polls and analyst predictions rely on surveys and modeling, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their capital at risk. The difference between prediction market probabilities and external forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or unique insights offered by traders.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Tesla (TSLA) finishing the week of October 5 above a specific price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This creates a dynamic and real-time estimate of the event’s likelihood, driven by supply and demand for shares in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the Friday of that week will be compared to the market’s threshold to determine whether the outcome is a ‘yes’ or ‘no’. The resolution will be based on widely accepted financial data sources and will reflect the official closing price as reported by major financial exchanges. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news regarding Tesla’s production numbers, vehicle deliveries, or technological advancements would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the overall stock market, could also impact investor sentiment towards Tesla. Unexpected announcements from competitors or regulatory changes affecting the electric vehicle industry are additional catalysts to watch. Any significant event impacting Tesla’s perceived future prospects could drive substantial movement in this market.