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Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of October 12 above___?
polymarket

Will Tesla finish the week of October 12 above?

Volume:
$3,076

$365

 - Polymarket

$365 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 4:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$365

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$380

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$405

View
0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$385

View
0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$390

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$395

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$400

View
0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$410

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$415

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tesla stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Tesla (TSLA) finishing the week of October 12 above a certain price. You'll find a real-time view of the odds, along with a price history chart displaying how the market has fluctuated over time. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,554, and the total volume traded to date, which is $3,076. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding Tesla’s future performance.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Tesla. While analysts often provide price targets based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders betting with real capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, information access, or interpretations of the same data. If analysts are generally bullish on Tesla, we might expect to see higher probabilities assigned to the 'yes' outcome in this market, but market dynamics can quickly shift based on new information or events.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Tesla will finish the week of October 12 above the specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influence price discovery.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the Friday of the week of October 12 will be compared against the market’s target price. If the closing price is above that level, the 'yes' outcome will prevail; otherwise, the 'no' outcome will be determined. The resolution will be based on official exchange data and widely available financial news sources.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from Tesla, announcements regarding new product launches or production targets, changes in regulatory policies affecting the electric vehicle industry, and broader macroeconomic factors like interest rate fluctuations or shifts in investor sentiment towards growth stocks. Any news impacting Tesla's perceived future growth potential or profitability could lead to substantial shifts in trading activity and, consequently, the market's price.