TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 2 above___?
polymarket
opinion

Will Tesla finish the week of November 2 above?

Total volume:
$8,721
Volume 24h:
$1,992
40%
Liquidity:
$12,053
79%
Open interest:
$3N/A

$420

 - Polymarket

$420 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:13m

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 2 above $420?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 29¢ buys you 345 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $345 | Net Profit: $245 Multiplier: 3.45x | ROI: 245% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$420

Trade
26%
5%
Yes 29¢No 77¢
6¢
$793
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$410

Trade
39%
3%
Yes 45¢No 68¢
13¢
$998
$3
99%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$370

Trade
87%
3%
Yes 94¢No 20¢
14¢
$1,003
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$375

Trade
84%
3%
Yes 91¢No 23¢
14¢
$1,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$380

Trade
81%
1%
Yes 87¢No 25¢
12¢
$812
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$385

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 82¢No 26¢
8¢
$774
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$390

Trade
72%
2%
Yes 77¢No 34¢
11¢
$862
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 11¢Max: 11¢

1 market hidden by your filters. PH Consensus still includes it.

polymarket

$395

Trade
67%
6%
Yes 72¢No 39¢
11¢
$926
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$400

Trade
60%
8%
Yes 67¢No 47¢
14¢
$743
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$405

Trade
52%
8%
Yes 58¢No 55¢
13¢
$825
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$415

Trade
34%
7%
Yes 37¢No 69¢
6¢
$1,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$425

Trade
23%
Yes 28¢No 83¢
11¢
$902
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
polymarket

$430

Trade
18%
Yes 23¢No 88¢
11¢
$919
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 13m
Active
Total markets: 13

Description

This group of markets asks whether Tesla's stock price will finish the week of November 2nd above various price thresholds. These are binary 'above/below' markets focused on a specific closing price.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same underlying resolution source (Pyth) and logic for determining the closing price and resolving the markets.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd.
  • The closing price is sourced from Pyth, with a fallback to the primary exchange if Pyth data is unavailable.
  • If the closing price is exactly equal to the target price, the market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading Day: If Tesla does not trade during the regular session of the final trading day, the market resolves 50-50.
  • Stock Splits: In the event of a stock split or reverse stock split, resolution will be based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of regular trading hours on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd, once the closing price is confirmed by Pyth or the primary exchange.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Tesla (TSLA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially offering a different viewpoint than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on company fundamentals and industry trends, this market incorporates a broader range of information and sentiment, including news events and even social media buzz. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies and biases. It's useful to consider both prediction market probabilities and analyst ratings when forming a comprehensive outlook on Tesla's stock performance.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Tesla (TSLA) stock at the close of trading on the Friday of the week of November 2 will be the determining factor. This will be assessed against the market's threshold to determine which outcome is successful. Traders should monitor official stock market data sources for the final settlement price.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Key catalysts include major news releases regarding Tesla’s production numbers, earnings reports, and any announcements related to new products or technologies. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation data and interest rate decisions, could also affect investor sentiment towards growth stocks like Tesla. Unexpected events, like regulatory changes or supply chain disruptions, could also lead to substantial price movements and shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.