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410,482

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Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of October?
polymarket

Will SpaceX close above its price by October 30, 2026?

Volume:
$1,921

$120

 - Polymarket

$120 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$120

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$110

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$130

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$146
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$200

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$190

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$180

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$170

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$146
$92
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$150

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$146
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$160

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$168
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$140

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the SpaceX stock market tracks the current implied probability of the stock closing above a certain price by the end of October, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $340. You can also view the historical price action of this market, providing insight into how traders’ beliefs have shifted over time. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $1,921. This information helps users understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to SpaceX’s stock performance.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability of SpaceX’s stock closing above a certain price by Oct 30, 2026. This differs from some traditional analyst forecasts, which present a wider range of expectations regarding SpaceX’s future stock performance. While analysts consider fundamental factors like revenue projections and market competition, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting capital at risk based on their beliefs about the outcome. It's important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information not readily available in traditional analyses.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether SpaceX’s stock will close above a certain price by Oct 30, 2026. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the market. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning it’s driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell shares at different price points.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of SpaceX’s stock on the final trading day of October will be compared to the predetermined price level. If the stock closes above that level, the market will resolve positively; otherwise, it will resolve negatively. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data and widely recognized sources for stock market information.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from SpaceX regarding new contracts, technological advancements, or launch successes could drive the stock price higher. Conversely, any setbacks in their projects, increased competition from other space exploration companies, or negative financial news could push the price down. Broader economic conditions and overall market sentiment towards growth stocks will also play a role. Regulatory changes or shifts in investor confidence in the space industry could also impact the price of this market.