TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?
polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Volume:
$208,019

10

 - Polymarket

10 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 14, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date within April 8 - April 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 12, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.