TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above __?
polymarket

Will Seagate Q1 exabyte shipments be above?

Volume:
$8,535

230

 - Polymarket

230 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 6:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

230

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

220

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

250

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

240

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

260

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seagate's hard drive exabyte shipments for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seagate's hard drive exabyte shipments for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Seagate exabyte shipments market tracks the current odds of whether Seagate’s Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments will exceed a specified threshold. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the market has priced in this possibility over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,481. Total volume for this market is $8,535. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and activity related to Seagate’s performance.

Currently, the odds on Polymarket reflect a collective prediction regarding Seagate’s Q1 exabyte shipments. These odds are formed by the wisdom of the crowd, and may differ from individual analyst forecasts. It's common to see discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and traditional analyst expectations, as this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. Comparing this market to publicly available analyst reports can reveal whether traders are more or less optimistic about Seagate’s performance than experts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning increased buying pressure will raise the price, indicating growing confidence in Seagate exceeding the shipment target, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time assessment of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, Seagate’s official Q1 earnings report will be the basis for determining whether their hard drive exabyte shipments were above the specified level. The resolution will be based on the data released by Seagate and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their shares forfeited based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Seagate’s hard drive sales, overall demand for storage solutions, or broader economic indicators affecting the tech sector could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about supply chain disruptions, competitor performance, or changes in Seagate’s production capacity would also likely move the market. Furthermore, any revisions to analyst forecasts for Seagate’s revenue or earnings could influence trading activity in this market.