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Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above __?
polymarket

Will RTX Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above?

Volume:
$7,575

$9B

 - Polymarket

$9B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 8:59 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$9B

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$8.5B

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$9.5B

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$10B

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$10.5B

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RTX's Pratt & Whitney sales for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if RTX's Pratt & Whitney sales for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the RTX Q3 sales market tracks the current odds of RTX’s Pratt & Whitney Q3 sales exceeding a certain threshold. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,044. The total volume traded on this market is $7,575. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are positioning themselves before the outcome is known.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a strong belief that RTX’s Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales will exceed expectations. This contrasts with some initial analyst forecasts, which were more conservative. It’s important to remember that analyst predictions represent individual opinions, while this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders. The market’s implied probability offers a different perspective than traditional polls or expert opinions, potentially incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating future developments.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of RTX’s Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales being above the specified level. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood, providing a real-time gauge of expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official RTX Q3 sales figures for Pratt & Whitney are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported sales numbers, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether the sales exceeded the specified threshold. Traders should monitor official RTX announcements for the definitive results that will determine the market’s outcome.

Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Pratt & Whitney’s engine production, delivery rates, or order backlog would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about supply chain disruptions or changes in aerospace demand could also shift the odds. Furthermore, broader economic indicators, such as overall industrial production or airline passenger numbers, might affect investor sentiment and trading activity in this market. Keep an eye on industry news and RTX’s official communications for potential catalysts.