TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
polymarket

Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

Volume:
$8,096

Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 6:07 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Robinhood is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Robinhood's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.56 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robinhood reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.56 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Robinhood releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Robinhood is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Robinhood's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.56 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robinhood reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.56 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Robinhood releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Robinhood earnings market tracks the current odds of HOOD beating quarterly earnings, the price history of the market, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $5,997. The total volume for this market is $8,096. Users can see how the implied probability of a 'yes' outcome has changed over time, providing insight into market sentiment. This information helps traders assess the potential profitability of their positions and understand how others are viewing the likelihood of Robinhood’s performance.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for Robinhood’s earnings. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing expectations as probabilities. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and analyst consensus could indicate that traders possess information not yet reflected in conventional analysis, or simply have differing interpretations of the same data. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming an opinion on whether Robinhood will beat earnings.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Robinhood will beat quarterly earnings. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the resolution date approaches, the more sensitive the price becomes to new information. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements that represent the evolving market consensus.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Robinhood’s reported quarterly earnings per share (EPS) exceed the consensus estimate of financial analysts at the time of the earnings release. The market will determine a 'yes' or 'no' outcome based on this comparison. Traders should monitor official earnings releases from Robinhood to understand the final result and how it impacts the market’s settlement.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding Robinhood’s user growth, trading volume, or revenue projections would likely impact trading activity. Broader market trends affecting the financial sector, particularly those impacting fintech companies, could also play a role. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, might influence investor sentiment towards growth stocks like Robinhood. Finally, any significant announcements from Robinhood’s competitors could shift expectations and affect the price of shares in this market.