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Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q4 QCT chip revenue be above __?
polymarket

Will Qualcomm QCT revenue be above?

Oct 15, 2026, 9:08 AM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,888
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$596
31%
Open interest:
$711N/A

$8.5B

 - Polymarket

$8.5B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:01h:13m

Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q4 QCT chip revenue be above $8.5B?

82%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 82% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$8.5B

Trade
82%
Yes 94¢No 31¢
25¢
$18
$520
0%
8%
N/A
2d 1h 13m
Active
polymarket

$8.75B

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 95¢No 39¢
34¢
$133
$458
0%
28%
N/A
2d 1h 13m
Active
polymarket

$9B

Trade
52%
Yes 94¢No 91¢
85¢
$17
$239
0%
20%
N/A
2d 1h 13m
Active
polymarket

$9.25B

Trade
17%
6%
Yes 30¢No 97¢
27¢
$152
$240
0%
0%
N/A
2d 1h 13m
Active
polymarket

$9.5B

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 15¢No 96¢
11¢
$278
$432
0%
4%
N/A
2d 1h 13m
Active
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Qualcomm's QCT chip revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Qualcomm's QCT chip revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, the odds reflected in this market represent a collective prediction about Qualcomm’s Q4 QCT chip revenue. These odds may differ from individual analyst forecasts, which often present a range of expectations. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and allow traders to adjust their positions based on new information. Comparing this market’s implied probability to the consensus estimates from financial news sources can reveal whether traders are more or less optimistic than experts regarding Qualcomm’s revenue.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Qualcomm’s Q4 QCT chip revenue will be above the threshold. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more confident the market is that revenue will exceed the target; conversely, a price closer to 0 indicates lower confidence. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of traders.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Q4 QCT chip revenue figures from Qualcomm are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported revenue number, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted whether it exceeded the specified threshold. Traders should monitor official Qualcomm announcements for the final revenue data to understand the resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding Qualcomm’s chip sales, particularly pre-release indications of demand for their products, would be significant. Broader economic indicators impacting the semiconductor industry, such as global smartphone sales or overall economic growth, could also play a role. Furthermore, announcements from Qualcomm’s competitors or changes in industry regulations could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Keep an eye on financial news and Qualcomm’s investor relations updates.