TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$153,964,051
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,809,858,743
498,684
Markets across
37,244
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,831
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prologis' core funds from operations (FFO) per diluted share for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Prologis' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prologis' core funds from operations (FFO) per diluted share for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Prologis' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Currently, prediction market participants are expressing a strong belief that Prologis will exceed a certain core FFO per diluted share in Q3. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which may offer a range of expectations. While analysts rely on financial modeling and company guidance, this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s important to note that prediction market odds represent a probabilistic view, similar to how analysts provide probability ranges for different scenarios.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Prologis’s Q3 core FFO per diluted share being above the specified threshold. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, influence how efficiently the price incorporates new information.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Q3 core FFO per diluted share for Prologis is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the figure reported by Prologis in their official Q3 earnings release. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual reported value. The market’s resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Prologis’s performance, such as updates on occupancy rates, leasing activity, or macroeconomic conditions affecting the logistics sector, could shift trader sentiment. Additionally, broader economic data releases, particularly those related to industrial production or consumer spending, could impact expectations for Prologis’s earnings. Unexpected announcements from competitors or changes in industry trends could also contribute to price movements in this market.